Emergence and Spread of Infectious Disease Threats in a Globalized World

The above figure describes the making of an international infectious disease threat. Pandemics are one type of international infectious disease threat. Interventions at the earliest stages (i.e. emergence) have the greatest potential for prevention whereas interventions at the latest stages (i.e. spread) are mostly limited to mitigation or delay.

Emergence
Disease emergence encompasses more than the appearance of a previously unknown disease. Known diseases can be found in previously unaffected areas, in new populations, or at new times of the year.

Detection
Early disease detection allows for a more timely response, and thus can prevent a local outbreak from transforming into an international one.

Control
Public health capacity comprises healthcare personnel (e.g. doctors and nurses), healthcare equipment and facilities (e.g. hospital beds), among other resources.

Spread
Failing local control, the international spread of an infectious disease threat may be delayed but generally cannot be prevented altogether.